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23rd March 2007
Homeowners are we due another interest rate rise.
Every UK Homeowner and mortgage holder is keen to know about interest rates.
With house prices at all time high many people have had to extended
themselves by borrowing larger sums of money and thus any upward change in
interest rate can prove a little worrying. But why do interest rates change and
how is it linked with inflation?
Uk
Interest rates are set by the Bank of England and one of the banks core objects
is to keep inflation low, it helps to achieve this by increasing interest rates
if it feels necessary. There is a direct correlation between the money that we
spend and inflation and thus when interest rates are higher, we have less money
to spend, this in turn helps to keep inflation in check. A stable rate of
inflation means that prices should not fluctuate greatly and there is confidence
in the economy. Well that all sound s very good in theory but in practice it is
a lot more complicated.
There
are some 11 million mortgage holders in the United Kingdom and the whispers of
another hike in interest rates will not go away. Recent reports suggest that
inflation has just hit 4.6% which is the highest for 15 years and this may force
the Bank of England to raise interest rates again in the next couple of weeks
This coupled with the data that in February, consumer spending rose
by the highest amount for two years is surely likely to spur the monetary committee
in to action. Interest rates already at a 5 year high are predicted to
rise by another 0.25%. With interest rates at the highest level for 5 years,
many homeowners in the Uk feel we have been duped in to accepting a booming housing
market by a monetary policy designed to ward off recession, maybe this is the
case but their is no doubt that soaring house prices have led to a high degree
of personal debt and the office for National Statistics says confirms that mortgage
interest payments are the main reason inflation is going up, although the government
chooses to use a different index that excludes housing costs.
Rising
house prices are being fuelled by the worry of many first time borrowers
that if they do not buy now, they will never get on the market. At the present moment
£1 billion a day is being lent and large of amounts of personal debt are being
taken on over longer periods of time. The secondary factor affecting
the Uk market is the number of people borrowing funds for
buy to let properties.
Buying property to finance retirement is very popular as many people have lost
faith in the equity markets and pension funds. If inflation is to be kept in
check, then it is inevitable that interest rates will have to rise again but
perhaps the time is fast approaching to look at the long term picture. Should
steps be taken to limit the amount of credit that is freely available in the
United Kingdom and perhaps it is time to re-establish the pension and equity
markets as a reliable means of saving for retirement.
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